Empirical Studies
for Land Rent Taxation
There are 237 empirical studies (more available), all substantiating
that when land assessments are taxed more, new construction increases
and most people pay less in taxes. There are also other benefits.
These studies come from all over the world and many are included
in a new book, The Golden Key to Continuous Prosperity. I could
find no empirical studies contradicting these results.
Fortunately, there’s an easy way to determine whether a town
enjoys construction increases: every time someone constructs something,
a detailed and verified building permit has to be taken out and
verified by the town’s Building Inspector, so all a researcher
must do is compare the building permits after a switch to LVT (hereafter,
land value taxation) to the time before. Here now is a summary of
these 237 studies:
- 45 studies prove that when towns adopt LVT, a spurt in new construction
and renovation results.
- 63 studies conclude that towns switching from taxing buildings
to taxing land always out-constructed and out-renovated their
neighbors who were subject to the same economic-growth influences.
- 83 studies concluded that most voters paid less with a revenue-neutral
building-to-land tax switch. In 2 studies, most voters paid slightly
more.
- 30 studies concluded that LVT had various miscellaneous advantages
- for example, tax defaults decreased, which is what you would
expect if buildings are taxed less.
- 6 studies concerned farmers: in three studies, farmers essentially
broke even with a shift to LVT, in one study farmers would pay
slightly more, and in two studies farmers would pay slightly less.
Australian farmers have generally voted to adopt LVT.
- 8 studies listed endorsements (also, there are literally hundreds
of endorsements by prominent authorities listed elsewhere).
Readers can obtain a copy of this 237 report by writing to
me at 10528 Cross Fox Lane (E2), Columbia MD 21044 (cost $12,
2005). But reading 237 summaries of these empirical studies
can be a challenge, so here follows a representative 23 of them:
(1) The contiguous cities of Allentown and Bethlehem in eastern
Pennsylvania are comparable as to size and economy. In 1997 Allentown
became two-rate LVT; its difference between land and building rates
was expanded in that year and in each of the following four years
while Bethlehem remained one-rate.
Allentown’s new private construction and renovation grew by
32% in dollar value in the three years after it first adopted two-rate
LVT as compared to the prior three years. That was 1.8 times more
than Bethlehem’s increase in private construction and renovation
even though Bethlehem was the recipient of much federal-grant money
during 1997-99 (not so for Allentown).
These figures are based on a study of city-hall building-permit
data on file in the Allentown and Bethlehem city halls, done by
Benjamin Howells (science researcher and former Allentown councilman),
William Kells (science-oriented businessman), and Steven Cord (professor-emeritus)
in 1999. The study was summarized in Incentive Taxation (IT 7/00).
(2) Washington and nearby Monessen (both in southwestern Pennsylvania)
are roughly comparable as to size and economy. After Washington
shifted some of its tax off buildings onto land in 1985, its new
private construction and renovation increased by 33% in dollar value
in the three years after the two-rate adoption as compared to the
prior three years. During the same time period, nearby one-rate
Monessen’s new private construction and renovation decreased
by 26%.
A report of this study, based on building-permit data on file in
the Washington and Monessen city halls, can be found in IT, 10/88
(also see IT, 10/97 and 9/00).
(3) Connellsville, Pa. saw its new private construction and renovation
jump 3.46 times in the three years after it adopted a two-rate LVT
property tax as compared to the prior three years. This jump can
be compared to the rather modest 1.07 increase in nearby Uniontown‘s
new private construction and renovation during the same time period.
The two cities are quite comparable, although Uniontown is somewhat
larger and is the county seat (both are economic-development plusses).
A report of this study can be found in IT, 10/97. It is based on
building-permits issued on file in the Connellsville and Uniontown
city halls.
(4) Aliquippa, Pa., after the closure of its large steel mill, went
two-rate LVT in January 1988, whereupon its new private construction
and renovation jumped 97% in the three years after the two-rate
switch as compared to the three-years-before period. See IT, 10/91.
Nearby Ambridge, comparable except that it was closer to the Pittsburgh
international airport and enjoyed brisk tourist traffic at its Old
Economy Shaker Village (both economic plusses), experienced a 30%
decline in private building-permits issued during the same periods
of time. Nearby Beaver Falls, also comparable except that it was
less hilly than Aliquippa and is the county seat (again, economic
plusses), experienced a comparable 7.2% decline during the same
period of time.
In July 1993, the Aliquippa School District adopted a two-rate building-to-land
switch in its property tax. Its new private construction and renovation
thereupon spurted: for 1994-95, it was 2.3 times greater than for
1991-92 (based on building-permit records on file at city hall;
see IT, 12/99).
(5) In 1989, Clairton, Pa., an industrial suburb of Pittsburgh,
was under direct state fiscal control, officially labeled “financially
distressed.” It took the advice of the prestigious Pennsylvania
Economy League and went two-rate LVT, taxing building assessments
at 2.105% and land assessments at 10% (instead of both at 3.7%).
During the three-year period after the switch, its taxable building
permits were 8.5% more than in the three years before (based on
building-permit records in Clairton City Hall). This is to be compared
to the 5.8% decline in all U.S. building permits during the same
periods of time (see IT 10/93).
(6) Oil City, Pa. adopted two-rate LRT starting in January 1989
and increased its new private construction and renovation 58.2%
in the three following years as compared to the three-years-before,
while its nearby one-rate but otherwise comparable neighbor, Franklin,
Pa., experienced a decline 12.2% in the same time periods (based
on a study of building-permits issued in the two city halls; see
IT 11/94).
(7) Pittsburgh’s long two-rate LVT experience has provided
many studies:
In the years 1980-84, when Pittsburgh was expanding the difference
between its land and building property-tax rates, its new construction
as measured by building-permits issued was fully 3.57 times higher,
adjusted for inflation, than in the pre-change years of 1974-78,
despite the steady post-1980 contraction of Pittsburgh’s steel
industry (source: Pennsylvania Economy League study of Pittsburgh’s
two-rate tax 1985, p. 16).
For the entire United States, 1980-84 office-building permits were
only 1.6 times higher than for 1974-78 (not adjusted for inflation,
per Daniel Sansbury, U.S. Bureau of Census, Suitland, Md., 1/21/93,
and reported in IT, 10/93).
The boom in Pittsburgh continued: in 1985, its building permits
increased 2.29 times over 1984; in 1986, it was 2.38 times greater
than in 1984 (source: Pbg. Bldg. Inspection Dept.; see IT 10/86).
When Pittsburgh increased its land-tax rate in 1979 and again in
1980 (but not its building tax rate), its construction increased
fully 6.2 times faster than U.S. construction during the same period
of time (sources: table 1194, U.S. Census report C30, and the building-permit
annual reports, city of Pittsburgh).
(8) Godfrey Dunkley, an economist and mechanical engineer specializing
in the design and sale of fluid filtration equipment, extracted
interesting statistics from the official Municipal Yearbooks of
the government of South Africa.
He compared 1959 assessments to 1979 assessments and found that
the one-rate towns (taxing land and buildings the same) increased
their total assessments by 486%, but the two-rate towns (taxing
land more than buildings) experienced a 561% increase and the 46
towns that taxed only land assessments experienced an 850% increase.
Inflation affected all these figures, but note that the more a town
taxed land values, the faster it grew.
Further substantiation from the same study: the eight towns that
switched from one-rate to two-rate increased their assessments by
748%, and the 15 towns that switched to land-taxing-only increased
by 996% (see IT 9/83). A later Dunkley study of a different time
comparison yielded similar figures.
(9) Then there’s the study by professors Wallace Oates and
Robert Schwab, both of the University of Maryland. They reported
that 15 large northeastern cities in the U.S. averaged a decline
of 15.5% in their annual value of building permits issued between
1960-1969 and 1980-1989, but two-rate LVT Pittsburgh recorded a
70.4% increase.
Columbus, Ohio was the only other city in the study recording an
increase - a rather modest 3.6% – but it had annexed some
fast-growing suburbs in the interim (see IT, 10/92).
(10) In 1995, Professor Nicolaus Tideman of Virginia Tech University
and his then-graduate student, Florenz Plassmann (now a professor
at the University of Binghamton), completed a highly technical study
of land value taxation in Pennsylvania entitled “A Markov
Chain Monte Carlo Analysis of the Effect of Two-Rate Property Taxes
on Construction.” See IT 12/00 for the verbatim conclusion
of the original study and the peer-reviewed Journal of Urban Economics,
3/00, pp. 216-47, for the full study.
To quote from their conclusion:
“The results say that for all four categories of construction,
an increase in the effective tax differential is associated with
an increase in the average value per permit. In the case of residential
housing, a 1% increase in the effective tax differential is associated
with a 12% increase in the average value per unit… From the
perspective of economic theory, it is not at all surprising that
when taxes are taken off of buildings, people build more valuable
buildings. But it is nice to see the numbers.”
(11) Harry Gunnison Brown, a prominent economist, reported that
suburbs of Melbourne, Victoria, Australia, which were about five
rail miles from Flinders Street in the center of Melbourne and which
taxed land values only, had 50% more dwellings constructed per available
acre in the 1928-1942 period than similarly situated suburbs which
taxed land and buildings at the same rate (Source: Aus. Govt. statistics
in “Public Charges Upon Land Values,” a 1961 study prepared
by the General Council of Rating [local taxing] Reform).
Making a similar comparison for suburbs seven miles out, the land-value-tax
suburbs did 2.33 times better; LVT suburbs 9.5 miles out did twice
as well.
(12) A Pittsburgh City Council study (1976) concluded that a 1%
earned income tax would hit the city’s homeowners 3.59 times
harder than an equivalent-in-revenue LVT increase. The same study
also found that a two-rate LVT would down-tax 73.6% of homeowners.
(13) A Washington, D.C. council-authorized study done in the 1970s
concluded that if the current property tax were shifted from land
and building assessments to land assessments only, there would be
these tax reductions: single-family homes 18.1%, two-family homes
20.9%, row houses 14%, walkup apartments 8.9%, elevator apartments
22.5%.
(14) In 64 suburbs outside central Melbourne (Aus.) during the two-year
period 1955/56 to 1957/58, there were 42 new factories, of which
half were in the 17 localities using LRT-only. In addition, factory
employment in these l7 LVT-only localities increased by 445 whereas
in the remaining 47 localities, factory employment decreased by
361 (source: Aus. govt. statistics in “Public Charges Upon
Land Values,” a 1961 study prepared by the GCRR).
(15) Twelve studies in rural Victoria found that the LVT-only towns
averaged a construction-and-renovation growth of 29% as compared
to the growth of their real-estate-income-taxing neighbors of a
modest 2.6% in the same period of time (source: GCRR study of building-permits
issued as reported in Progress Magazine, Melbourne 3/75). LVT-only
was always adopted as a result of a poll of landowners only.
(16) If eastern Americans fall through the earth, they will emerge
near Perth, Western Australia (pop. 400,000). 17 localities in that
vicinity taxed land values only; they experienced a 34.36% increase
in the total number of dwellings between 6/30/71 and 6/30/76. The
nine nearby localities taxing both land and buildings and presumably
subject to the same economic-growth influences experienced a 0.02%
decrease in the same time period (source: Aus. govt. statistics,
as cited in Progress, 11/77, p. 10).
(17) In North Dakota, farmers paid no tax on farm buildings. A
survey by a high official of the N.D. League of Cities revealed
that this has encouraged new farm construction USN&WR, 4/3/78,
p. 54).
(18) California Irrigation Districts - A 1909 California law required
that when new irrigation networks were to be built, they were to
be financed by a tax on the affected land values only; all privately
owned improvements were to be property-tax exempt. The theory was
that publicly owned irrigation networks increased land values so
the expense of those networks should be borne by the affected landowners.
The result has been beneficial to the local farmers, particularly
the smaller ones. The irrigated valleys are among the most productive
in the world. This is what the Modesto Chamber of Commerce stated
in 1914 (according to the Congressional Research Service in its
study, “Property Taxation,” p. 48):
“As a result of the change many of the large ranches have
been cut up and sold in small tracts. The new owners are cultivating
these farms intensively. The population of both country and city
has greatly increased. The new system of taxation has brought great
prosperity to our district. Farmers are now encouraged to improve
their property. Industry and thrift are not punished by an increase
in taxes.”
(19) Malvern, Australia experienced a marked construction spurt
after it adopted LVT-only in August 1955. The most extensive construction
took place in its blighted problem neighborhoods. Before August
1955, those neighborhoods accounted for only 22% of the city’s
building permits, but in each of the five ensuing years that percentage
jumped first to 35% and then steadily moved up to 47% in 1960 (these
percentages are of continually larger construction figures; source
- Victoria Building & Construction Journal, 1979).
(20) Tax defaults: in New Zealand in the late 1950s, ten large
LVT-only cities had slightly less tax defaults than three large
non-LVT cities, indicating that exempting buildings from local taxation
does not increase tax defaults (1961 report of the Canadian Federation
of Mayors and Municipalities, p. 31, by H. Bronson Cowan). See IT,
12/81.
(21) A city-funded 1980 study in New Castle, Pa. revealed that
seven vacant and two poorly developed downtown sites would be an
estimated $150,851 more profitable to build upon with an LVT-only
property tax. If county and school taxes were also to adopt LVT-only,
then the extra profit would approximate an estimated $243,750 a
year.
(22) Random-sample studies in sixteen U.S. cities substantiated
that most homeowners pay less with a two-rate building-to-land property-tax
shift (IT 56-7-76).
One can easily ascertain by exactly how much each voter in a city
would fare with this two-rate approach before going public with
the idea.
But wait a moment – I just finished a study of Pittsburgh
that I must tell you about. I can’t restrain myself. This
should be the Absolute Clincher. Wait till you read about this one.
The city of Pittsburgh has taxed land assessments more than building
assessments ever since 1915, but for the year 2001 and thereafter,
it reverted to taxing both types of assessments at the same one
rate.
How come? An interesting question, but it can only be considered
briefly here because it is essentially irrelevant to what is being
investigated, which is “what was the effect of the land-to-building
switch?” Well, in 2001 the voters in Pittsburgh were suddenly
aroused to fever pitch as never before about their property tax
because their new land assessments were suddenly increased by five-to-eight
times overnight – an absolute political no-no.
The voters mistakenly thought that if the property tax could be
equalized on land and buildings, their property taxes would be reduced
(not realizing that their property tax on buildings would be increased).
They were completely unaware of the many LVT studies that had been
made, especially in Pittsburgh. So they pressured their city council
to reduce the land tax rate. This is what happened:
Pittsburgh experienced a 19.57% decline in private new construction
and renovation in the three years after rescission as compared to
the three years before, even though during the same time period,
the value of construction put in place nationwide (including public
construction) increased 7.7% and sales tax receipts in Pittsburgh
increased 7.6%. Both of these increases should have boosted Pittsburgh’s
new construction, but they didn’t.
It took 200 hours to examine all 13,547 of the building permits
for the six-year period. For the full details of the study, see
Incentive Taxation (5/04).
Also interesting: a computer examination of the entire Pittsburgh
assessment roll found that 54% of the homeowners paid more property
tax when the land tax was decreased. As for tenants, they’ll
all get eventual space-rent increases because the higher building
tax will be passed on to them but not LVT increases (check any basic
economics textbook). This is especially true for all large cities
because they have many tenants, both residential and business.
The Pittsburghers acted somewhat like Samson. They harmed themselves.
This LVT rescission has actually been a blessing in disguise because
it allows us to examine the effect of a land-to-building tax switch
on construction and renovation.
Much more evidence for LVT could be cited, but enough is sufficient.
Isn’t it common sense to expect that if you down-tax buildings,
you’ll have more and better buildings, and if you up-tax land,
land-sites will have to be more fully utilized? Don’t let
preconceived notions trump logic and hard empirical evidence.
For more information about land taxation, write: Steven Cord (Professor-Emeritus),
10528 Cross Fox Lane, Columbia MD 21044, or call:
1-410-997-1182, or e-mail: stevencord2000@yahoo.com |